Tuesday, November 1, 2016

Presidential Election and The Economy

In the first article, Forbes states that the stock market increases when an incumbent party won based on past statistics regardless of the political party. For example, the average Stock Market return when an incumbent party won increased 15.1% and decreased 4.4% when the incumbent party lost. Also, the average Stock Market return increased by 7.6% during the president election years overall. When a republican won, the average Stock Market returned increased 10.3%. When a democrat won, it increased 3.9%.  Based on these statistics, I have learned that the presidential election have impacted the financial markets in a negative way. During the presidential elections, the stock market usually decreases. I think the stock market increasing during the presidential elections is a good thing. It can also be a negative thing if it goes down. It will either help continue to provide growth in our economy or end up hurting our economy. In the second article, Tim Lucas states that the prediction for the housing market during the presidential election is uncertain. Since the stock market and economy are usually decreases, this can also affect the outcome of the housing market. There is a lot of uncertainty involved as both candidates running in the election are not a party of the incumbent party. Experts say that the value of homes rises more slowly in election years than in other years. In most cases, the presidential election is causing a negative effect on the financial status of the housing market. I think this is a negative thing and will affect our economy more and more as the years go on. If there is a large decrease in the stock market and housing market, it will cause a drastic effect on our nation’s financial status as a whole. This could lead to many future issues. 


http://www.forbes.com/sites/advisor/2016/08/02/how-will-this-election-affect-the-stock-market/#23207112334e

http://mymortgageinsider.com/how-will-the-2016-election-affect-the-housing-market-and-your-wallet/